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How has the autonomous military weapons market grown in recent years?

The market size for autonomous military weapons has experienced fast-paced growth in the past few years. Its size is predicted to increase from $16.08 billion in 2024 to $17.71 billion in 2025, marking a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.2%. This upswing during the historic period can be traced back to previous battles and military tactics, research and development investments through the years, regulatory landmarks, former budget assignments, as well as triumphs and defeats.

How is the autonomous military weapons market size expected to evolve during the forecast period?

In the coming years, the size of the smart cities market is projected to experience substantial growth, reaching a value of $1987.43 billion by 2029. This represents a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.3%. The predicated growth within this period can be tied to the integration of 5G networks, an emphasis on health and safety, resilience and disaster readiness, as well as citizen involvement and inclusivity. Noteworthy trends throughout this forecast period involve platforms for citizen participation, edge computing for immediate processing, smart building automation, systems for public safety and emergency response, and the use of digital twin technology for urban modelling.

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Which key drivers are propelling the autonomous military weapons market’s growth?

The development of the autonomous military weapons market has been catalyzed by their capacity for carrying out hazardous tasks with distinct accuracy. Their functioning facilitates troop safety by reducing their exposure to perilous tasks and impending threats to human life. They not only accelerate decision-making and target tracking which enhances accuracy but also provide a wider access to information, improved reliability, and predictable operations for certain tasks. This, in turn, saves humans from monotonous or repetitive jobs and allows access to areas where remote control technologies can’t reach. Countries like the USA, China, and Russia are notably investing in the research and development of AI for weapons with the intention of dominating this market. As per a report by the Government Accountability Office (GAO) of America, in the wake of a racially-motivated shooting that took 10 lives in Buffalo, New York in May 2022, there has been a 357% rise in terms of investigating domestic terrorism in the last ten years. The second leading category of incidents during this time were those related to anti-government or anti-authority violent extremism accounting for 15 fatalities. Such instances validate the necessity and prospective growth of the autonomous military weapons market, primarily due to their accuracy in hitting the targets with negligible human intervention and minimization of risks to human life.

What are the market segments in the autonomous military weapons industry?

The autonomous military weapons market covered in this report is segmented –

1) By Type: Autonomous, Semi-Autonomous

2) By Product: Missiles, Rockets, Guided Bombs, Target Pods, Others

3) By Platform: Land, Airborne, Naval

Subsegments:

1) By Autonomous: Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), Autonomous Ground Vehicles (AGVs), Naval Autonomous Systems, Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems (LAWS)

2) By Semi-Autonomous: Remote-Controlled Weapons, Human-In-The-loop Systems, Targeting Systems With Autonomous Features

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Which leading companies are shaping the growth of the autonomous military weapons market?

Major companies operating in the autonomous military weapons market include China North Industries Group Corporation Limited, Aviation Industry Corporation of China, Raytheon Technologies Corporation, The Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Airbus Group Inc., Kalashnikov Concern LLC, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, General Dynamics Corporation, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd., Rostec State Corporation, BAE Systems plc, L3Harris Technologies Inc., Thales Group, Textron Inc., Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd., Rheinmetall AG, Elbit Systems Ltd., Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd., Saab AB, Kongsberg Gruppen ASA, Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Ltd., Bharat Electronics Limited, Palantir Technologies Inc., Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc., Denel SOC Ltd., Anduril Industries Inc., Savunma Teknolojileri Mühendislik ve Ticaret A.S.

What key trends are currently impacting the autonomous military weapons market’s development?

Leading organizations in the autonomous military weapons marketplace are prioritizing the creation of out-of-the-box products like unmanned ground vehicles (UGV) to offer credible services to their clients. UGVs are human-free operational vehicles that move on land. For example, BAE Systems Australia, a defense and security services firm based in Australia, introduced the STRIX hybrid VTOL unmanned air system in February 2023. The system can conduct air-to-ground attacks by transporting munitions for precision strikes on terrestrial objectives, thereby boosting battle prowess. The STRIX is also built for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) roles which facilitate real-time data gathering and improved understanding of the situation. It can perform the role of a supportive “loyal wingman”, working in sync with manned planes to deliver additional support and artillery power.

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Which geographic areas are influencing the growth of the autonomous military weapons market?

Asia-Pacific was the largest region in the autonomous military weapons market in 2024. Western Europe is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the autonomous military weapons market share during the forecast period. The regions covered in the autonomous military weapons market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa.

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